Risk Management

Communication and consultation

Communicating risk requires consultation and conversations between the person responsible for managing risk and its stakeholders. Communications is an iterative two-way process that involves sharing and receiving information on how the risk can be managed.

It is important to understand that the communication and consultation process does not make this a joint decision. Once the dialogue is finished, decisions are made at an organisation level and not a based on individual stakeholder preferences. To remain objective decisions about risk should be centred on the nature of the risk, likelihood and significance to determine whether if the risk should be accepted or rejected. If accepted consideration should be given to treatment options.

Consequence

A consequence is the outcome of an event and has an effect on objectives. A single event can generate a range of consequences which can have both positive and negative effects on objectives. Initial consequences can also escalate through cascading and cumulative effects.

Context

To establish the context means to define the external and internal parameters that organizations must consider when they manage risk.

An organization’s external context includes its external stakeholders, its local, national, and international environment, as well as any external factors that influence its objectives.

An organization’s internal context includes its internal stakeholders, its approach to governance, its contractual relationships, and its capabilities, culture, and standards.

Control

A control is any measure or action that modifies or regulates risk. Controls include any policy, procedure, practice, process, technology, technique, method, or device that modifies or regulates risk. Risk treatments become controls, or modify existing controls, once they are implemented.

Event

An event could be one occurrence, several occurrences, or even a non-occurrence

(when something doesn’t actually happen that should have happened). It can also

be a change in circumstances. Events always have causes and usually have consequences. Events without consequences are referred to as near-misses, near-hits, close-calls, or incidents.

External context

An organization’s external context includes all of the external environmental parameters and factors that influence how it manages risk and how it tries to achieve its objectives. It includes its external stakeholders, its local, national, and international environment, as well as key drivers and important trends that influence its objectives. It also includes stakeholder values, perceptions, and relationships, as well as its social, cultural, political, legal, regulatory, technological, economic, natural, and competitive environment.

Internal context

An organization’s internal context includes all of the internal environmental parameters and factors that influence how it manages risk and tries to achieve objectives. It includes its internal stakeholders, its approach to governance, its contractual relationships, and its capabilities, culture, and standards.

Governance includes the organization’s structure, policies, objectives, roles, accountabilities, and decision-making process, and capabilities include its knowledge and human, technological, capital, and systemic resources.

Level of risk

The level of risk is its magnitude. It is estimated by considering and combining

consequences and likelihoods. A level of risk can be assigned to a single risk

or to a combination of risks. Common level of risk categories includes the following: extreme risk, high risk, moderate risk, and low risk. Of course, you need to define each category so that everyone is using the same terminology in the same way.

Likelihood

Likelihood is the chance that something might happen. Likelihood can be defined, determined, or measured objectively or subjectively and can be expressed either qualitatively or quantitatively (using mathematics).

Monitoring

To monitor means to supervise and to continually check and critically observe. It means to determine the current status and to assess whether or not required or expected performance levels are being achieved.

Residual risk

Residual risk is the risk left over after you’ve implemented a risk treatment option. It’s the risk remaining after you’ve reduced the risk, removed the source of the risk, modified the consequences, changed the probabilities, transferred the risk, or retained the risk.

Review

A review is an activity. Review activities are carried out in order to determine

whether something is a suitable, adequate, and effective way of achieving

established objectives.

Risk

According to ISO 31000, risk is the “effect of uncertainty on objectives”

and an effect is a positive or negative deviation from what is expected.

The following will explain what this means.

The traditional definition of risk combines three elements: it starts with a

potential event and then combines its probability with its potential severity.

A high risk event would have a high likelihood of occurring and a severe

impact if it actually occurred.

While ISO 31000 defines risk in a new and unusual way, the old and the new definitions are largely compatible. Both definitions talk about the same phenomena but from two different perspectives. ISO thinks of risk in goal-oriented terms while the traditional definition thinks of risk in event-oriented terms. These two definitions can and do co-exist. They’re two different ways of talking about the same phenomena.

ISO provides a conceptual definition of risk while the traditional formulation operationalizes this general definition: it explains how to quantify risk. It argues that the amount or level of risk can be

calculated by combining probability and severity.

Risk analysis

Risk analysis is a process that is used to understand the nature, sources, and causes of the risks that you have identified and to estimate the level of risk. It is also used to study impacts and consequences and to examine the controls that currently exist. How detailed your risk analysis ought to be will depend upon the risk, the purpose of the analysis, the information you have, and the resources available.

Risk assessment

Risk assessment is a process that is made up of three separate processes: risk identification, risk analysis, and risk evaluation.

Risk identification is a process that is used to find, recognize, and describe the risks that could affect the achievement of objectives.

Risk analysis is a process that is used to understand the nature, sources, and causes of the risks that you have identified and to

estimate the level of risk. It is also used to study impacts and consequences and to examine the controls that exist.

Risk evaluation is a process that is used to compare risk analysis results with risk criteria in order to determine whether or not a specified level of risk is acceptable or tolerable.

Risk attitude

An organization’s risk attitude defines its general approach to risk. An organization’s risk attitude (and its risk criteria) influence how risks are assessed and addressed. An organization’s attitude towards risk affects whether or not risks are taken, tolerated, retained, shared, reduced, or avoided, and whether or not treatments are implemented or postponed.

Risk criteria

Risk criteria are terms of reference and are used to evaluate the significance or importance of your organization’s risks. They are used to determine whether a specified level of risk is acceptable or tolerable. Risk criteria should reflect your organization’s values, policies, and objectives, should be based on its external and internal context, should consider the views of stakeholders, and should

be derived from standards, laws, policies, and other requirements.

Risk evaluation

Risk evaluation is a process that is used to compare risk analysis results with risk criteria in order to determine whether or not a specified level of risk is acceptable or tolerable.

Risk identification

Risk identification is a process that involves finding, recognizing, and describing the risks that could influence the achievement of objectives. It is used to identify possible sources of risk in addition to the events and circumstances that could influence the achievement of objectives. It also includes the identification of possible causes and potential consequences. You can use historical data, theoretical analysis, informed opinions, expert advice, and stakeholder input to identify your organization’s risks.

Risk management

Risk management refers to a coordinated set of activities and methods that is used to direct an organization and to control the many risks that can affect its ability to achieve objectives.

The term risk management also refers to the programme that is used to manage risk. This programme includes risk management principles, a risk management framework, and a risk management process.

Risk management framework

According to ISO 31000, a risk management framework is a set of components that support and sustain risk management throughout an organization. There are two types of components: foundations and arrangements.

Foundations include your risk management policy, objectives, mandate, and

commitment. And arrangements include the plans, relationships, accountabilities,

resources, processes, and activities you use to manage your organization’s risk.

Risk management plan

An organization’s risk management plan describes how it intends to manage risk. It describes the management components, the approach, and the resources that are used to manage risk. Typical management components include procedures, practices, responsibilities, and activities (including their sequence and timing). Risk management plans can be applied to products, processes, and projects, or to an entire organization or to any part of it.

Risk management policy

A policy statement defines a general commitment, direction, or intention. A risk management policy statement expresses an organization’s commitment to risk management and clarifies its general direction or intention.

Risk management process

According to ISO 31000, a risk management process systematically applies management policies, procedures, and practices to a set of activities intended to establish the context, communicate and consult with stakeholders, and identify, analyze, evaluate, treat, monitor, record, report, and review risk.

Risk owner

A risk owner is a person or entity that has been given the authority to manage a particular risk and is accountable for doing so.

Risk profile

A risk profile is a written description of a set of risks. A risk profile can include the risks that the entire organization must manage or only those that a particular function or part of the organization must address.

Risk source

A risk source has the intrinsic potential to give rise to risk. A risk source is where a risk originates. It’s where it comes from. Potential sources of risk include at least the following: commercial relationships and obligations, legal expectations and liabilities, economic shifts and circumstances, technological innovations and upheavals, political changes and trends, natural events and forces, human frailties and tendencies, and management shortcomings and excesses. All of these things could generate a risk that must be managed.

Risk treatment

Risk treatment is a risk modification process. It involves selecting and implementing one or more treatment options. Once a treatment has been implemented, it becomes a control, or it modifies existing controls.

You have many treatment options. You can avoid the risk, you can reduce the risk, you can remove the source of the risk, you can modify the consequences, you can change the probabilities, you can share the risk with others, you can simply retain the risk, or you can even increase

the risk in order to pursue an opportunity.

Stakeholder

A stakeholder is a person or an organization that can affect or be affected by a decision or an activity. Stakeholders also include those who have the perception that a decision or an activity can affect them. ISO 31000 2018 distinguishes between external and internal stakeholders

Risk Framework



Risk objectives
Risk Principles
Risk Appetitie
Risk Tolerance Level
Risk Capacity



Identification
Assessment
Monitoring
Reporting
Management

Options for risk matrix

· Risk identifier: This is just a unique number (e.g., 001)

· Risk author: Person who raised the risk

· Date registered: Date the risk was registered

· Risk category: A project can have its own categories. One of these will be selected, such as quality, network, legal, and supplier.

· Risk description: This is written in a specific way (e.g., cause, event, and effect).

· Probability impact: Choose value from an agreed scale (very low, low, normal, etc.).

· Proximity: How soon (when) the risk is likely to happen

· Response category: Avoid, Exploit, Reduce, Transfer, …

· Risk response: List of actions to resolve the risk

· Risk status: Current status of the risk: active or closed

· Risk owner: Mention one person who is responsible for managing the risk

· Risk actionee: Person who carries out the actions described in the response (Note: This can be the same person as the risk owner)

Example Risk log- add above options as appropriate

Date risk raised Exams cycle section Risk When could this happen? Mitigation Action Action by whom Action by when Open/Closed Risk reviewved Date closed

Risk Table

Risk Rating   Rating Action Bands
Likelihood X Severity of Impact = Assessed Band Control Measures
1.  Most Unlikely   1.  Minimum impact   Minimal Risk 
1 or 2
Maintain Existing Measures
2.  Unlikely   2.  Slight Impact   Low Risk 
3 or 4
Review Control Measures
3.  Likely   3.  Serious Impact   Medium Risk
 6 or 8
Improve Control Measures
4.  Most Likely   4.  Major Impact   High Risk 
9, 12 or 16
Improve Control Measures immediately and consider stopping work activity until risk reduced
To establish Risk Rating multiply “Likelihood” by the “Severity”
Severity of Consequences
Likelihood of Occurrence 1.Minor Impact 2.Significant Impact 3.Serious Impact 4. Major Impact 5.Catastrophy Impact
1.Very unlikely, hasn’t occurred 1 2 3 4 5
2.Slightly- rarely occurs 2 4 6 8 10
3.Feasible possible but not common 3 6 9 12 15
4.Likely, has before and will again 4 8 12 16 20
5.Very likely, occurs frequently 5 10 15 20 25
           
Risk Rating Likelihood X Severity Minimal 1-2 Low 3-9 Medium 10-15 High 16-20 Extreme 25

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